Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1091.285763 1229.422400 1379.904146 1556.260848 1757.599513 1980.662663 2247.029672
2026-02-08 877.624602 1065.204213 1286.790903 1568.969014 1920.324981 2345.437843 2901.825324
2026-02-15 759.107765 969.195627 1231.498654 1585.296679 2053.453196 2656.423597 3499.443285
2026-02-22 681.457020 906.376767 1200.104685 1615.403864 2193.284842 2977.451901 4136.634181
2026-03-01 599.112875 824.286144 1129.529142 1578.476566 2230.255060 3154.837531 4588.558946
2026-03-08 528.877549 749.321289 1058.014764 1527.996826 2236.314719 3281.472170 4973.050910
2026-03-15 471.256294 685.402340 994.121599 1478.997393 2234.944031 3391.159514 5337.512334
2026-03-22 447.099874 667.317914 994.067416 1523.421733 2377.209147 3731.197955 6103.273166
2026-03-29 420.068899 641.881829 979.742591 1542.854751 2479.910826 4016.573609 6810.685855
2026-04-05 394.467857 616.030534 961.831033 1553.648526 2567.758966 4284.155285 7517.219307
2026-04-12 371.662757 592.412859 944.939977 1563.583907 2653.608948 4555.023074 8260.231378
2026-04-19 356.558412 579.844430 944.545437 1600.575696 2788.826424 4924.827559 9231.127554
2026-04-26 339.400058 562.936537 936.250122 1624.425939 2905.616850 5278.961992 10230.284662
2026-05-03 321.747843 543.787051 922.555531 1637.391916 3003.917461 5610.100925 11231.429344
2026-05-10 306.439972 527.349136 911.965394 1654.509013 3110.932119 5968.498953 12336.780175
2026-05-17 294.630767 516.076206 909.437389 1686.059695 3248.560314 6402.009506 13663.253590
2026-05-24 273.934982 487.091468 872.248995 1647.362078 3241.215750 6537.098810 14344.280523
2026-05-31 253.235618 456.575063 829.839958 1594.468844 3199.012226 6593.228291 14849.957276
2026-06-07 234.546326 428.510783 789.976409 1543.134113 3154.757607 6639.493563 15337.720220
2026-06-14 229.240602 425.480666 797.838373 1589.675390 3324.336002 7175.749971 17094.826302
2026-06-21 221.196682 416.543293 793.401639 1610.036347 3438.373816 7599.002412 18632.659983
2026-06-28 212.696576 406.090341 785.116061 1621.346025 3533.008295 7987.583321 20139.872142
2026-07-05 204.668520 396.010348 776.801376 1631.756590 3626.441344 8383.735411 21728.831569